COVID-19 mass hysteria as overreaction of society immune system.
by Leonid Sakharov
If Trump will not awake very soon from hypnosis of taken from
context reports of COVID-19 cases and mortality there would be
no economy left to mobilize in case of real danger in form of
really highly mortal disease or riot or election of mental deficient
Biden as President.
Stop COVID-19 hysteria at once. Please.
Most of people in society are conformists. They are most comfortable
in situation when their judgment is in agreement with majority
of society. It creates basic for common knowledge that could
be either science based or propaganda incited or somewhere in between.
In modern society person has to rely on opinion of professionals
as soon the complexity of technology of everything is far overcoming
ability of anybody to independently verify every bit of terabytes
of information passing around every millisecond. There is no
necessity to check validity of everything in everyday life. Time
flies day by day without affecting routine from breakfast to
bed pillow that means that everything is fine and no additional
actions are required.
To guard society from hidden danger there are special institutions
incorporated in it. Science and intelligence are to look around
and to recognize probable treat to wellbeing of nation, journalism
to report and educate public about finding, government officials
to make decisions how to respond to danger. Ordinary members
of society should obey orders and all together we the people
will overcome the crisis. It is how in ideal world where all
institutions works for common good first and for personal benefits
second. Such construction must serve human society in the same
manner as immune system human body. In both situations defense
mechanism can overreact and attack or body or future of society
making fatal misdirected decisions.
Our world is not ideal. Information can be falsified and manipulated.
Scientific knowledge is not truth. Responsible scientist will
be the first who will say that any prediction is no more than
educated guess. To any statement one can assign a probability
to be true or not. Even this assignment of probability is done
with great deal of inaccuracy for most cases especially in social
areas of science. Journalists who should report scientific finding
to the public are not scientists as a rule. They like the say
that they believe in science that is absurd because science is
the opposite of faith, to religion. Science for journalists is
just a cover for presenting sensation and often inaccurate but
favorite to their political affiliation information to paint
it as a scientific fact. There are not scientific facts –instead
there are results of experiments and their interpretations. Nothing
in science is final. The same is in life until the finish.
Hysteria about COVID-19 pandemic is clear and present danger
of blind emotional incorporation of incomplete scientific information
into decision making process.
What we know about COVID-19? Very little verifiable information.
Facts from official sources. Mortality rate in USA was practically
not affected with epidemic of COVID-19. Weekly death number up
to last reported week ending Apr. 18, 2020 was either close to
average or even lower. It could be impossible to make a conclusion
about presence any additional systematic death reason only on
the base of weekly chart of total death in USA. Strange epidemic
without almost any negative effect on mortality isn’t it?
Mortality rate from COVID-19 is illusive number. When CNN displays
every moment numbers of COVID-19 cases and death in the world
and USA for example at now at Apr. 26., 2020 5:25 pm EST as 2962915
cases in the world with 205938 deaths and 961969 cases with 54530
deaths in USA it will give viewer impression that mortality rate
of COVID-19 in the world is 6.9% and in USA 5.7% that is very
scary. It could be terrifying as CNN want to present the information
but fortunately for the world and usual embarrassing for CNN
these are misleading facts(?).
Presented cases are not total number of infected with COVID-19,
only registered part of unknown number of total cases. Reported
investigation of antibody holder in population gave much higher
number of infected, by some estimation ten times larger. Number
of death from COVID-19 is not exact from virus but only associated
with it. Big part of old people would die anyway maybe. Nobody
knows for sure how many die because of virus and how many in
coincidences. What is known that average weekly death rate in
USA is about 55K, so up to this point whole number of associated
with COVID-19 for several months of panic deaths is equivalent
to one week of normal life tragic circumstances.
Economic harm of orders for self imprisonment (stay in home order
no matter want or not to) is about 10 trillion USA dollars. Maybe
more maybe less. There is no methodology to calculate it for
sure much less to separate damage of virus from overreacted idiots
and inducting panic saboteurs.
It is very sad realization that President Trump who up to this
COVID-19 hysteria has been making impression to be clear minded
individual was caught into this mass paranoia. In spite his first
healthy impulse to dismiss all these jazz as a democratic and
liberal media ploy Trump decided finally to prioritize this pandemic
as the genuine thread to population over economic prosperity.
It looks like he respects science much more than understand it.
Very regrettable although expectable.
If Trump will not awake very soon from hypnosis of taken from
context reports of COVID-19 cases and mortality there would be
no economy left to mobilize in case of real danger in form of
really highly mortal disease or riot or election of mental deficient
Biden as President.
Stop COVID-19 hysteria at once. Please.
Apr. 26, 2020; 21:00 EST