Atypical pneumonia epidemic 2019. Maybe not just virus.
by Leonid Sakharov
Starting in the fall of 2019, reports began to appear about an
increase in cases of atypically occurring pneumonia (pneumonia),
first in China, in Wuhan. The Wuhan Institute of Virology of
the Chinese Academy of Sciences operates in the same city. There,
the gene of the coronovirus found in patients with atypical pneumonia
was deciphered, and after that the disease was called by the
name of this virus COVID-19.
It should be noted that specific testing for a new virus is an
extremely difficult procedure and conducting extensive research
among healthy populations regarding the presence of this recently
discovered virus is extremely difficult and, if conducted elsewhere,
little is known about this. In one German town found https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one
-town-in-germany /, that 2% were actively sick, and 14% seemed
to have received immunity. (The exact wording here is extremely
difficult because the presence of antibodies is still not 100%
proof of immunity after infection. It is believed that a healthy
person had a disease without notice it if antibodies are found,
and he would no longer be under risk of infection. If I were
such a person, I would have been wary of it. God salvages conscious ones.)
According to the United States Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, cdc.gov, approximately 10 to 20% of people with flu
or pneumonia-like symptoms showed this novel coronovirus. From
the same source, you can find out that when the United States
almost stopped communicating between people at the end of March,
the number of people diagnosed with the flu almost dropped to
the zero, to the level lower than the base for this time of the
last five years.
Social distancing measures (soft quarantine) killed the flu in
the United States. Over the same period of time, a new disease,
atypical pneumonia began and has being continued to grow exponentially,
reaching a level comparable to the peak of the flu epidemic.
Isolation of the population acted magically on influenza, and
it may have affected a new disease, but it’s not so obvious.
Due to the fact that the induction period of a disease after
infection with a new disease is considered up to two weeks, the
absence of immediate results of quarantine can be explained by
the fact that already a lot of people were infected before its
introduction. May be.
Another interpretation of the available information is theoretically
possible. Assume that the pathogenic factor causing the new disease
is not the only virus. Perhaps this is a combination of the virus
plus some unknown factor, or even that the virus is only a co-factor.
For example, what if there was a pollution of the atmosphere
with some highly toxic compound, which is an industrial by-product
of something completely innocent. The technology may have recently
been changed for optimization, by-products, as usual, have been
released into the atmosphere for general consumption. People
began to get sick where this novel pollution exceeded the toxic level.
An indirect fact confirming this hypothesis is the sudden cessation
of the epidemic in its initial center, the city of Wuhan in China.
There goverment shut down all production and the air cleared.
Maybe this unknown toxin was blown away by wind? Who knows ...
Maybe we should look around and sniff more closely. Quarantine,
this, okay, is the inevitable standard response to the epidemic,
how else can the authorities react to show their importance.
In all countries, this is the first and natural reaction. But
it would also be nice to ask the right questions to get accurate
scientific answers to them.
For example - how reliably is reproduced: the chain course and
effects: a person in contact with a virus carrier has become
infected, the virus develops in his body, the person becomes
ill after some time. What is the probability of this happening
under controlled conditions? It is clear that while there is
a panic, there are no such studies, but sometime it will have
to start to test the vaccine. For flu, they did this at the Institute
named after him.
And I would really like someone to take care to analyze the air
(including dust in it) in cities, these are epidemic centers,
for the presence of anomalies in the chemical composition on
the trace level. Maybe there is a certain component that correlates
with the number of diseases?
Apr. 13, 2020; 11:46 EST